We have developed a methodological toolkit to help a wider community study and mitigate risks that could lead to human extinction or civilisational collapse. Below you will find a set of easily accessible and intuitive introductions to some of the tools that we have developed and implemented as a team, with links to help you get started with using these for yourself.
- Intelligence Rising - a strategic simulation of AI futures
- ParEvo - a narrative tool for helping groups explore divergent possible future scenarios
- Databases of existential risk estimates - one produced by CSER researchers and an expanded version maintained independently, as a living resource for the Existential Risk Studies community.
- The IDEA protocol and other Horizon Scanning techniques - participatory foresight tools for identifying and prioritizing emerging issues, threats, and research questions
- The Existential Risk Research Assessment (TERRA) - a semi-automated process for systematically reviewing the relevance of academic research to Existential Risk Studies to produce a living bibliography
- Manifesto for the Responsible Development of Mathematical Works - a practical tool for anyone carrying out, managing, or influencing mathematical work (including quantitative modelling, artificial intelligence, and machine learning)
- The Mortality of States Index (MOROS) - a database of the lifespan of political states throughout history
- The Stepping Stones Approach to Nuclear Disarmament - a process designed to reinject energy and care into disarmament diplomacy and draw nuclear weapon states into inclusive and cooperative discussions to reduce nuclear risk
- The Science Policy Interface for Global Catastrophic Risk - a community of researchers and policy brokers working together on the Global Governance of Global Catastrophic Risks